Market Update with Jason Obradovich - March 1, 2018

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com March 2, 2018

 


Today we are going to talk once again about what’s happening with interest rates.

The 10yr Treasury is floating right around 2.90%, up 50bps on the year.  With Jerome Powell now at the helm of the Federal Reserve it’s important to look at what are his thoughts on the economy and interest rates.  This week he appeared very optimistic about the economy and the possibility that the FOMC raises rates 3 and possibly 4 times this year.

His reasoning is 1) continued strength in the labor market, 2) some evidence of rising inflation, 3) continued strength in the global economy and 4) recent stimulative fiscal policy such as tax reform.

Getting back on the inflation front, take a look at the following graph.  This shows the Fed’s preferred inflation measurement, PCE, on an annualized basis.  As you can see inflation is starting to move higher but whether or not it reaches the Fed’s target of 2% is still unknown.

Speaking of unknowns, the impact of the Republican tax bill will be difficult to measure for a few months at least.  There is a presumption that it will raise the economy and inflation with it.  The Fed’s expectation is rising inflation will continue and that will lead to more interest rates increases.  It’s safe to say that 3 interest rate increases are fairly certain and if inflation continues to climb then 4 increases is a good probability.

In terms of Treasury rates, the 10yr is still holding below 3% but the more interesting move is on the 2yr Treasury which continues to rise.  The graph on your screen shows both the 2yr and 10yr Treasury rising, but the 2yr Treasury is rising faster and closing the gap.  Even though mortgage rates are more closely tied to the 10yr, the rapidly rising 2yr does put upward pressure on mortgage rates. 

The reason the 2yr continues to rise faster is the expectation that the Fed will continue to increase short term rates.   In fact the market prices in a 100% chance the Fed raises rates on March 21st versus 68% at year end.  The probably of 3 rate increases in 2018 is 72% and 4 increases is 34%.

In the coming weeks you should keep an eye on the following items:

  1. Will the prospects of 4 interest rate increases push the 10yr over 3%?
  2. Inflation data and specifically Core PCE, will it continue to move higher?
  3. Any further comments from Jerome Powell as the market becomes more familiar with the new Fed Chair

Read more at http://www.newamericanagent.com/market-update--march-1-2018#uo9m8hjLjIufxEkJ.99

Black History Month Infographic

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com February 20, 2018
Black History Month Q&A

Cash Out Refinance: Like Taking a Vacation on the House

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com February 19, 2018
Family Vacation

If you are like many U.S. homeowners, you are entering the New Year with higher property values and, depending what part of the country you live in, with dreams of higher temperatures as post-holiday winter weather hits. Then again, you may be more intent on making improvements to your home in anticipation of a "staycation" later this year. In either case, as well as those involving milestone events like family reunions and college tours, a cash out refinance may make your goal more affordable.

Why This Makes Sense

A cash out refinance involves accessing the equity that has built up as your home’s value increased over the last few years and you’ve repaid the principal portion of your mortgage. This amount builds within your home as equity while you continue to pay the same mortgage amount each month. That equity would be freed up if you were to sell your home, but there is also another way to access it.

Replacing your current mortgage with one of a higher value gives you access to the money built up via your home’s equity. Depending on the current interest rate environment, a refinance can sometimes even be done at a lower rate. When that occurs, your monthly payment may remain close to the same as your current payment even though you have a larger mortgage.

If you currently have a shorter-term loan or adjustable-rate loan, you may also find that a cash out refinance may also benefit you. In these situations, you can refinance into a fixed-rate mortgage ahead of an expected rise in interest rates and/or lengthen the term of your loan, which could potentially lock you into a lower monthly payment than you might otherwise have had.

Regardless of the circumstances, when you refinance using a cash out loan option, you receive a cash payment that can be used for any purpose you would like, including achieving other financial or life goals.

Cash Out to Achieve Other Goals

  • Retire student loans
  • Finance a wedding
  • Buy an investment property
  • Put a down payment on a vacation home
  • Pay off medical bills
  • Help offset elder-care expenses
  • Make home improvements
  • Pay down credit card debt
  • Take a once-in-a-lifetime trip
  • Start a new business
  • Pay for a child’s education









Borrowing From Yourself

The preferred use of a cash out refinance is one that improves your financial situation—such as paying for home improvements that might further boost your home’s value, starting a side business, or repaying higher interest debt like student loans or credit cards. However, the extra cash also enables you to invest in experiences that will improve your family’s quality of life and create lasting memories. 

That might mean a vacation property that your family can enjoy for years to come through a timeshare, fractional ownership program, or the outright purchase of a vacation home. Many such properties, especially second homes, may offer the added advantage of being an investment with the potential to create a small stream of rental income when your family isn't using them.

While escaping to warmer weather is a goal many share, the versatility of a cash out refinance allows you to accomplish any number of goals by essentially borrowing from yourself to pay for improvements that can have lasting impact on the quality of your family's life.


Read more at http://www.newamericanagent.com/%20https://www.newamericanfunding.com/blog/cash-out-refinance-like-taking-a-vacation-on-the-house/#dPcJeEu7pbtd1aEe.99

Valentine's Day By the Numbers

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com February 12, 2018
Valentine's Day Infographic

How to Save for a Down Payment

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com February 8, 2018

How to Save for a Down Payment



image: http://www.newamericanagent.com/uploads/images/how-to-save-down-payment-blog.jpg

Money

Ready to get serious about homeownership? Then it’s probably time to start saving for a down payment. While down payments can seem like a challenge, they are really like any other goal you set for yourself, doable.

To succeed, think about the bigger goal in terms of smaller, more easily accomplished actions you can take to save money. Here are 12 things you can start doing today that can help you reach your goal, perhaps even within a year.

Nickel and Dime Yourself

Look at your expenses and what you’re spending money on, and then find opportunities to cut back. Try bringing lunch four days a week or carpooling to save gas money. Small cutbacks can really add up over time.

Set It and Forget It

Establish a high-yield savings account that is strictly for your down payment. You may even want to choose a bank separate from the one you normally use so you won’t be tempted to dip into your savings. Then, schedule an automatic transfer out of every paycheck into that account.

Up Your App Game

Find an app that will help you save and visualize your progress. Qapital links to your personal accounts and lets you establish “rules” based on your daily life. For example, you can set a weekly coffee budget and send the rest to savings when you come in under the amount.

Create a Waterfall

Concentrate on paying off high-interest debt, such as credit cards, one at a time. Once you pay one off, move to the next one. As you reduce your monthly debt payments, it should free up cash you can save for your down payment.

Get a Side Hustle

Whether it’s selling your knitted masterpieces on Etsy or driving for Lyft, divert the extra income toward your down payment.

Semi-retire Your 401K Contribution

Consider temporarily reducing your 401K contribution while you are saving for your down payment. Put aside the difference in your savings account until you’ve reached your goal. Once that happens, increase your contribution percentage to at least what it was previously.

Think Smaller

Decreasing your current housing expenses means you can put more away for a down payment. Moving to a smaller, less costly space for a short time can help you save money for a bigger, more permanent place to call home.

Ask to See the Benjamins

Include your relatives and friends in your savings goal. When a gift-receiving opportunity presents itself and you’re asked what you’d like for the occasion, answer, “Cash, please!”

Plan a Staycation

Instead of splurging on an expensive vacation this year, challenge yourself to find as many fun—inexpensive and free—things as you can to do and see in your hometown. With each ticket you don’t buy, or restaurant meal you don’t pay as much for, add to your savings account.

Hold a Real, or Virtual, Yard Sale

Letting go of those skis you haven’t used in five years will be easier if you know the profit will go toward a new home. Virtual sites like eBay and Facebook’s Marketplace make it easy to get your merchandise in front of potential buyers. It also means less to move!

Stash Your Raise

Congratulations! Your hard work over the past year was recognized. Now, pretend it never happened. Instead, continue to live off the amount of your old paycheck and put the remainder in your down payment savings account.

Look at All Your Options

Many organizations, such as the Federal Housing AuthorityVeterans Administration, and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, offer down payment assistance for qualifying borrowers. Taking advantage of one of these programs could greatly reduce the amount you’ll need to save and stretch the dollars you have accumulated.

Whether you follow all or just a few of these savings tips, achieving your savings goal could be easier than you think. They also could lead to your becoming a homeowner that much sooner. 


Read more at https://www.newamericanfunding.com/blog/how-to-save-for-a-down-payment/#rqRpfObTCUJJrwsu.99

Cash-out Refinances: What are they and should you consider one?

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com January 3, 2018

A Cash-out Refinance is when a homeowner decides to take some of the equity out of their house in exchange for cash that can be used in any way he or she would like. There may be good reasons for considering a cash-out refinance but it is also wise to know the way they work to be aware of the impact a cash-out refinance may have on your mortgage.

Wise Financial Reasons for a Cash-out Refinance

The best financial reasons taking cash out of your house involve investing that money elsewhere where you may get a higher return on investment. This may involve taking the funds and investing them in the stock market, bond market, or possibly investing in a new start-up company on the ground floor. It may also be wise if you plan on using this money to invest in repairs to the home itself. Similarly, it’s common for people to take cash out of their primary home and use that money for down payment and closing costs on an income property that allows them to increase their monthly income through the rents they receive.

Financial Emergencies

Additionally, a cash-out refinance can help people who need a large amount of money within a relatively short amount of time. These may involve situations where bills may be headed to collections and a homeowner’s credit will be negatively impacted. This may be due to divorce, serious injury or illness, or to pay funeral expenses for someone who does not have life insurance. If other avenues of payment have failed, a cash-out refinance may be worth considering.

Personal Reasons for a Cash-out Refinance

People also may choose to take equity out of their home to give money toward a loved one for some purpose. Commonly this is to assist adult children by gifting down payment money for their own home or helping pay for a college education.

Other reasons may simply be for personal enjoyment. Many people have chosen to take equity out of their homes to pay for a car, boat, or other vehicle or to pay for their dream vacation.

Things to be Aware of with a Cash-out Refinance

When getting a cash-out refinance, note that this cannot be done through a USDA loan and it is usually advisable to do so as a VA loan (if eligible) or as a conventional loan. Additionally, the interest rates tend to be higher for these mortgages than for traditional purchases or a rate-term refinance. There are also minimum amounts of equity that must be left in the property as well, so the amount you take out of a property may not be as much as you would hope. Finally, the new mortgage starts the term over, so choosing to refinance may end up costing you more money over the long term since most of your early mortgage payments will be going to interest rather than the principal balance. 

Loan Basics 101

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com December 29, 2017

How do I find a good rate?

Generally speaking, rates within a specific type (fixed vs adjustable rate) and term length (15, 20, or 30 year terms) will tend to be very competitive within a given region. You should expect to see most lenders within about .25% of each other.

The bigger impact on what an interest rate will be is determined by the credit score and the percentage of the purchase price that you put down for a down payment. So, rather than looking for a good rate, it’s often better to work on your credit and let the good rate find you.

How do I avoid “junk fees?”

There are always fees that you wouldn’t expect (unless you are involved in the real estate business). Most fees are predetermined by local governments for recording fees, title and escrow companies for their work, and the lender’s fees. Lenders’ fees either tend to be a flat fee determined by the company or as a percentage of the loan amount charged as “points.” Title and escrow companies’ fees are usually determined by a base amount plus a percentage related to the loan amount, and local governments determine their fees based off budgetary needs.

Having said that, there are fees that appear as “junk.” Requirements for checking flood zones, running a credit report, checking on tax returns, and other fees are often imposed on the lender who then passes the cost to the borrower as a standard practice. This makes some of the fees seem like junk, but they tend to be unavoidable regardless of the lender. The true “junk fees” that can be avoided are usually solved by having a lender that you know, who has worked in the area of your future home, and who can then work with companies removing fees that may be required for other regions of the country but may not be required where your future home is found.

Types of Loans

Since the housing market crash of a decade ago, interest rates have been near historic lows. This makes fixed rate mortgages more appealing because they are the safest bet. Most people choose a 30-year fixed rate mortgage to keep their monthly payment low and borrowers have the option of paying more to minimize the amount lost to interest. A 15-year mortgage saves a great deal of money on interest because rates are lower and it’s being paid out over a shorter period of time, but the monthly payments will be higher.

Despite their bad reputation, there are situations where an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) may be helpful for a buyer if the borrower is informed. If the loan amount is very high (think $400,000+) even slightly lower rates can save people a lot of money while the rate is still “fixed” for an initial time (usually, 3, 5, 7, or 10 years). Regardless of the loan amount an ARM may be a good option if the borrower thinks it unlikely that they will be in the house for a long period of time. The safety valve is that borrowers can nearly always refinance into a fixed rate mortgage down the road if they choose to keep the home.

Need More Help?

The best way to have these questions answered is to speak with a knowledgeable mortgage broker or loan officer licensed through the Nationwide Multistate Licensing System and Registry. Ask your realtors for the mortgage professionals that they would recommend. These people have special training and education to help you prepare and walk you through the mortgage process.    

6 Ways to Help Snowbird Clients Fly South

By Brett.Sweet@Nafinc.com December 21, 2017

image: http://www.newamericanagent.com/uploads/images/6-ways-help-snowbird-clients-fly-south-og.jpg

Sandals in the snow

For many homeowners, thoughts of warmer weather and sunnier days grow stronger as their nests empty and retirement approaches. Even as they look at their options, many may still want to maintain roots in the community they’ve long been a part of and where their families and friends remain. As you work with these “snowbirds,” here are a few things to keep in mind as you help them achieve their goal of belonging in two places.

1. Entertain the Idea

When your clients are considering a second home, ask them to think about how they intend to use it. Do they envision staying there for the entire fall and winter? Will they host holidays? Do they have young grandchildren that will be visiting often? The answers to these and other questions can help you narrow your search to homes and communities that will provide a fit.

2. Match Amenities to Interests

One of the big attractions of warmer climates is the opportunity to stay active and spend more time pursuing beloved pastimes. From golf courses and swimming pools to gardening clubs, learn more about how they’re hoping to spend their time in both locations to better understand their housing options.

3. Location Matters

Some snowbird clients may not be thinking about location past how far their new home is from a beach. However, there are practical considerations that might need to come into play. For instance, some clients may need to have certain health care facilities nearby. Still others might want to be situated close to an airport if they’re still working or have family that they plan to see frequently.

4. Maintaining the Lifestyle

Another important factor for them to consider is what it will take—both in terms of effort and cost—to maintain both homes. For warm-weather properties, this includes keeping up with landscaping, pool cleaning, and pest and mold control. Meanwhile, homes located in colder areas may require snow removal, ensuring plumbing works in freezing conditions, and maintenance of furnaces, fireplaces, and chimneys.

5. Downsizing for Ease

Some snowbirds might decide that maintaining their large family home while also keeping up a warm-weather property isn’t worth the time and effort. In this case, they may want to consider downsizing to a house that offers simpler upkeep. This allows them to keep a place where they can still see and entertain family and friends during the milder months in the community they’ve always known and then migrate back to warm weather in winter.

6. To Rent or Not to Rent

A second home can also mean an additional source of income for those who are interested in renting out either property when they aren’t using it. Marketing your expertise in helping snowbird clients navigate the ins and outs of becoming a landlord, particularly in a different state, can boost your own business while strengthening your client relationships.

Becoming a snowbird is really the best of both worlds for many retirees. They get to maintain a familiar lifestyle in a northern climate in milder months and enjoy the perks of warm-weather living during the colder months. As a Real Estate Agent, you can play a crucial role in helping them live the dream.


Read more at http://www.newamericanagent.com/6-ways-to-help-snowbird-fly-south-121917#PPFIPU1tQQtxmsCV.99