Mortgage Rates Stay Low, perhaps spawning more Second-half Sales

By Hovik.Shahinian@nafinc.com October 9, 2014
October 09, 2014 Freddie Mac's latest Primary Mortgage Market Summary offered further promise for prospective homebuyers. Fixed mortgage rates continued to stay low by historical standards, with the average 30-year rate falling to a new low for the year at 4.12 percent through the week ending Aug. 14. One year earlier, the average 30-year fixed rate was 4.4 percent, and a week earlier it sat at 4.14 percent. Fifteen-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 3.24 percent through the same period, down from 3.27 percent the previous week and 3.44 percent in mid-August 2013. The average five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage was also down on both a week-over-week and year-over-year basis, settling at 2.97 percent, while one-year Treasury-indexed ARMs rose slightly to an average of 2.36 percent. "Mortgage rates were down slightly amid a week of light economic reports," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac's chief economist. "Of the few releases, retail sales were virtually unchanged in July after a 0.2 increase in June, ending five months of increases. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, retail sales were up 0.1 percent last month." Potential sales surge on the horizon Even as the Federal Reserve continues to taper its stimulus program, reducing the rate of asset purchases by $10 billion each month, interest levels have not complicated the buying process by moving upward as many had anticipated. The hope among industry members is that the low mortgage rates will trigger a surge in homebuying activity, and if applications rates from July are any indication, a sales push may be coming. The latest Builder Application Survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association revealed new home purchase applications were on the upswing in July, increasing 2 percent from June. The average loan size grew slightly to $297,253, with conventional loans accounting for nearly 69 percent of all applications. Loans from the Federal Housing Administration and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs continued to play key roles in driving marketplace activity, representing 16.1 percent and 13.6 percent of the mortgages applied for in July, respectively. Based on the most recent mortgage application information, MBA estimated there were approximately 37.000 new home sales in July, representing a 2.8 percent improvement from the June rate. A number of other factors - most notably labor strength and available inventory - will dictate sales for the rest of 2014, but recent figures for mortgage applications volume and interest rate movement are encouraging.

Home Prices Increase 0.3% In August

By Editor October 8, 2014

According to CoreLogic’s house price index, home prices increased 0.3% month over month in August, the highest increase seen in five months. Home prices have remained mostly steady over the last year, though data shows that August 2014 prices were only about half of the average monthly gain seen in August of 2012 and 2013. Property economist Paul Diggle said, “more fundamentally, despite a tightening in recent months, we expect housing market supply conditions to loosen over the next year. Earlier price gains are encouraging homeowners to bring their homes to the market, while the increase in housing completions means that the inventory of new homes for sale is expanding rapidly.” More here

 

Tips To Help You Pay Off Your Mortgage Faster

By Editor October 7, 2014

More Americans are attempting to pay off their home loans faster, and according to the recent U.S. Census data, 34% no longer have mortgages. While it may be difficult, there are methods that can help paying off your home more quickly such as, paying extra monthly payments or just adding $100 onto your monthly payment; Refinancing to a lower interest rate but continuing to pay a higher monthly payment. Also, designate any extra money such as odd jobs or bonuses towards your mortgage. Experts say it may not be smart for everyone to pay off their mortgage early, and if you are considering it, you should speak with your financial advisor first. More here

 

Job Growth And Millennial Home Ownership May Have Direct Correlation

By Editor October 4, 2014

Data suggests that many millennials are waiting until the job market improves before buying a home. While home affordability has bettered, and interest rates remain fairly low, the majority of the millennial generation is delaying home ownership until they have landed their first professional job. Experts say that millennial home ownership and job growth have a direct correlation and should be watched closely. Jed Kolko, the chief economist at Trulia said, “we should watch closely whether millennial are getting back to work. For millennials, having a job is key to forming households and becoming homeowners. One of the most important measures of the housing market will come in this Friday’s jobs report, when we’ll see whether more young adults have gone back to work.”  Additionally, the jobless rate for people ages 25 to 34 sits at 6.9%, and the national jobless rate comes in at 6.1%. More here

Budgeting for the Hidden Costs Associated with a Home Purchase

By tom.ender@nafinc.com October 3, 2014

Preparing to buy a new home can be both exhilarating and stressful at the same time. Between credit cleanup saving for a down payment and shopping for a property that meets their budget as well as their desires, prospective home buyers have a lot on their minds. Many house hunters understandably focus on the price tag and the monthly mortgage payments, which can vary as interest rates fluctuate. But, first-timers must also remember the many hidden costs associated with the investment.

As the National Association of Realtors notes, budgeting for a new home purchase should account for all the additional items, which can amount to more than one month's mortgage payment, depending on what and where you buy. Being prepared means familiarizing yourself with all the parties involved in the process and having extra cash stashed away both for costs that may be hidden upfront or on a more sporadic basis. Some of these expenses include:

  • Move-in costs. Depending on the distance you're moving, the size of your family, the amount of furniture you have and a litany of other factors, moving can quickly become expensive. If you choose to hire a professional moving company, be sure to conduct thorough research, using resources such as the Better Business Bureau to choose the most cost-efficient and reliable options. Remember that you'll also have to set up, connect and pay for utilities such as water, electricity, cable and gas, all of which must be factored into your monthly budget.
  • Transaction-related fees. In addition to that sizeable down payment you've worked so hard to save for, don't forget about what's owed to your real estate professional, your mortgage appraiser and your home inspector. There are also significant taxes that add to the upfront purchase cost, perhaps even some associated with the previous owner's time in the house, depending on when it's purchased. In the event that you're moving into a house or condo that's part of a homeowners association, you'll owe dues on either a monthly or upfront basis - perhaps both - but these will help cut down on some of the other maintenance expenses over time. 
  • Upkeep and cosmetic concerns. Your short-term plans for a home may dictate the need to account for the costs of maintenance and renovations sooner rather than later. You can save on your mortgage payments by purchasing a home that needs work, but doing so requires an accurate understanding of how much each project will cost and at what pace the process can unfold. Over the long term, building value in your home is contingent upon enhancing and maintaining it. The age of the structure and the level of appreciation you seek may mean that considerable monthly expenses are allocated toward routine upkeep and minor improvements. These efforts can pay off doubly down the road if you are looking sell or refinance the home, but the expenses associated with them must be accounted for carefully and accurately. 
  • Insurance items. Homeowners insurance and title insurance are not optional expenses - they're absolutely essential to securing the value of your home and everything in it. Title insurance protects you from liens that may be attached to the property by way of a previous owner, or from any complications with the deed. Private mortgage insurance may be required if you buy the home with a down payment of less than 20 percent of the purchase price. And depending where you live, it's worth exploring the need for - or requirements surrounding - flood insurance and other types of coverage against natural disasters. These likely aren't covered in your standard property insurance policy, but they'll be well worth the expense in the unfortunate event of a worst-case weather scenario.

Budgeting for the Hidden Costs Associated with a Home Purchase

By tom.ender@nafinc.com October 3, 2014

Preparing to buy a new home can be both exhilarating and stressful at the same time. Between credit cleanup saving for a down payment and shopping for a property that meets their budget as well as their desires, prospective home buyers have a lot on their minds. Many house hunters understandably focus on the price tag and the monthly mortgage payments, which can vary as interest rates fluctuate. But, first-timers must also remember the many hidden costs associated with the investment.

As the National Association of Realtors notes, budgeting for a new home purchase should account for all the additional items, which can amount to more than one month's mortgage payment, depending on what and where you buy. Being prepared means familiarizing yourself with all the parties involved in the process and having extra cash stashed away both for costs that may be hidden upfront or on a more sporadic basis. Some of these expenses include:

  • Move-in costs. Depending on the distance you're moving, the size of your family, the amount of furniture you have and a litany of other factors, moving can quickly become expensive. If you choose to hire a professional moving company, be sure to conduct thorough research, using resources such as the Better Business Bureau to choose the most cost-efficient and reliable options. Remember that you'll also have to set up, connect and pay for utilities such as water, electricity, cable and gas, all of which must be factored into your monthly budget.
  • Transaction-related fees. In addition to that sizeable down payment you've worked so hard to save for, don't forget about what's owed to your real estate professional, your mortgage appraiser and your home inspector. There are also significant taxes that add to the upfront purchase cost, perhaps even some associated with the previous owner's time in the house, depending on when it's purchased. In the event that you're moving into a house or condo that's part of a homeowners association, you'll owe dues on either a monthly or upfront basis - perhaps both - but these will help cut down on some of the other maintenance expenses over time. 
  • Upkeep and cosmetic concerns. Your short-term plans for a home may dictate the need to account for the costs of maintenance and renovations sooner rather than later. You can save on your mortgage payments by purchasing a home that needs work, but doing so requires an accurate understanding of how much each project will cost and at what pace the process can unfold. Over the long term, building value in your home is contingent upon enhancing and maintaining it. The age of the structure and the level of appreciation you seek may mean that considerable monthly expenses are allocated toward routine upkeep and minor improvements. These efforts can pay off doubly down the road if you are looking sell or refinance the home, but the expenses associated with them must be accounted for carefully and accurately. 
  • Insurance items. Homeowners insurance and title insurance are not optional expenses - they're absolutely essential to securing the value of your home and everything in it. Title insurance protects you from liens that may be attached to the property by way of a previous owner, or from any complications with the deed. Private mortgage insurance may be required if you buy the home with a down payment of less than 20 percent of the purchase price. And depending where you live, it's worth exploring the need for - or requirements surrounding - flood insurance and other types of coverage against natural disasters. These likely aren't covered in your standard property insurance policy, but they'll be well worth the expense in the unfortunate event of a worst-case weather scenario.

Preparing Yourself as a Homebuyer by Avoiding Common Mistakes

By tom.ender@nafinc.com September 29, 2014

As 2014 reaches its second half, the labor market has continued its steady improvement and many consumers have started to regain confidence in the strength and sustainability of the economy. Over the final two quarters, those factors could spawn more demand for homebuying. May and June saw a significant upswing in new home sales, offering promise that the first-quarter slowdown was mostly weather-induced and, more importantly, fully in the rearview.

Still, in many areas of the country - particularly crowded metro regions along the coasts, such as Boston, New York or San Francisco - demand continues to exceed available inventory levels. As such, both first-time and move-up buyers need to be aware of some of the roadblocks that may present themselves.

A recent CNBC piece detailed some of the common mistakes and misconceptions of modern-day house hunters - all of which prospective buyers should be aware of and try to avoid when entering into sometimes competitive environments. Under these circumstances, the margin for error is thin, so being educated, prepared and aware of your surroundings is essential. Here are a few of the more recurring themes: 

  • Overvaluing online information. Sometimes it seems there are new resources, following in the footsteps of the likes of Zillow and Trulia, being unveiled every week. And these tools and applications can offer a lot of insight for buyers. But too often people make the mistake of treating them as a sort of guiding gospel when they are really just price estimations dictated by constant changes to the marketplace. It's dangerous to assume that these estimations are automatically in line with what the seller will be asking for, especially as neighborhoods change, with property values appreciating thanks to comparable recent sales or fewer foreclosures in the area. The safest approach is often to employ the services of a trusted real estate professional who knows the area, and allow their expertise to guide you, especially during a bidding process.
  • Failing to realize renting may be the better option. Owning a home is an undeniably attractive proposition, but only if you're prepared for all the costs and responsibilities that come with it. That means paying for homeowners insurance, title insurance, closing costs and perhaps even association fees - all of which can quickly add up to a total that's comparable to what your monthly mortgage payments equal. Make sure you conduct a thorough rent-versus-buy analysis based on the market in question, your income, expenditures and the duration of time you plan to stay in the given area. If you're unsure whether living in the neighborhood for at least five years appeals, then buying probably isn't the best decision.
  • Underestimating the power and presence of all-cash buyers. Traditional buyers use home loans to pay for their purchases, but the post-recession market has been anything but traditional. Cash buyers dominated many parts of Arizona, California and Nevada, among other places, scooping up foreclosed or otherwise distressed homes en masse, often rehabilitating them and reselling for profit. The process, commonly known as flipping, has eased somewhat in terms of the regularity with which it's seen, but certain purchase markets are still influenced by these sort of buyers. In many instances, they represent the interests of large-scale investors, show up with cash in hand and make offers that are hard to compete with. From the sellers' perspective, a high cash offer is tough to beat, since it simplifies the process and represents a sure thing. For buyers using a mortgage, the best defense against these competitors is credit cleanup, along with best efforts to save as much for a down payment as possible and to ensure that all other finances are in order.

Second-quarter Appreciation Rates Continued to Ease in Most U.S. markets

By tom.ender@nafinc.com September 26, 2014

The National Association of Realtors' latest quarterly report on home price gains offered some promising news regarding affordability for prospective buyers.

 

While certain markets on the West Coast continued to experience significant appreciation, most metro areas saw price growth moderate during the second quarter, with year-over-year gains easing to their slowest pace since 2012. Based on second-quarter closings evaluated by the NAR, median prices for single-family existing homes rose in 71 percent of identified markets, but 27 percent - or 47 individual markets - saw median prices fall from the second quarter of 2013. The latter figure confirms what many analysts had predicted - that after breakneck rates of appreciation throughout 2013, particularly in more crowded metro areas, home values are rising at a more sustainable pace.

 

Becoming a better buyers market 

Lower interest rates and inventory improvements in markets where supply had been short also led to improved sales rates in many of the areas analyzed by the NAR. Existing homes were purchased at a 5.6 percent greater rate than they were during the first quarter, though the seasonally adjusted pace of purchases remained 4.5 percent below the 2013 rate.

 

As NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted, the inventory issues that were squeezing many buyers out are subsiding, theoretically offering more affordable options. Markets like Orange County, California, outside of Los Angeles, where demand continues to outpace supply, are still experiencing the most significant price appreciation. A Los Angeles Times report detailed the situation in Southern California, where three different markets - Los Angeles County, Orange County and greater San Diego - ranked among the nation's 10 most expensive. In and around Los Angeles, many of the foreclosed or otherwise distressed homes have been bought up and resold, contributing to the dearth of available inventory that continues to place upward pressure on the prices of existing homes.

 

Yun believes the Southern California situation is no longer the norm, however, and that most of the nation is moving toward healthier supply-and-demand dynamics. The current rate of price increases appears mutually beneficial, with buyers able to capitalize on still-low interest levels and sellers still enjoying healthy equity gains that improve the ultimate return on their investments.

 

"National median home prices began their most recent rise during the first quarter of 2012 but had climbed to unsustainable levels given the current pace of inflation and wage growth," Yun said. "At this slower but healthier rate, homeowners can continue steadily building equity. Meanwhile, for buyers, increased supply with moderate price gains is giving them better opportunities to choose."

 

Yun added that new construction rates must pick up, particularly on the West Coast, for such healthy price moderation to consistently take hold. The relative lack of recently built homes in California is boosting existing values while also inflating rent prices for those who either can't afford to buy or are simply unsatisfied with the available options.

 

Opposite ends of the scale 

In addition to the aforementioned Southern California markets, two Northern California cities ranked among the NAR's five most expensive, based on median existing home prices. San Jose topped the list, with a median second-quarter sale price of $899,500, while San Francisco ranked second at $769,600. The Honolulu metro region joined San Diego and Orange County in rounding out the top five.

The most affordable metro markets in the country included the Youngstown-Boardman-Warren, Ohio, region, which recorded a second-quarter median existing home price of $78,600, and Rockford, Illinois ($85,300), Elmira, New York ($87,800), Decatur, Illinois ($90,900) and Toledo, Ohio ($95,900) were the other areas among the five most affordable

Mortgage Applications Increase Significantly

By Editor September 25, 2014

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Application Survey for last week, mortgage applications increased substantially, jumping 7.9% from the previous week. This large increase made up for the 7.2% decrease during the week of September 5th. The Market Composite Index rose 7.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Refinance Index jumped 10%, and the Purchase Index increased 5%. The MBA’s Chief Economist, Mike Fratantoni said, “application volume rebounded coming out of the Labor Day holiday, even as rates increased to their highest level in the last few months.” More here

 

Mortgage Applications Increase Significantly

By Editor September 25, 2014
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Mortgage Application Survey for last week, mortgage applications increased substantially, jumping 7.9% from the previous week. This large increase made up for the 7.2% decrease during the week of September 5th. The Market Composite Index rose 7.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Refinance Index jumped 10%, and the Purchase Index increased 5%. The MBA’s Chief Economist, Mike Fratantoni said, “application volume rebounded coming out of the Labor Day holiday, even as rates increased to their highest level in the last few months.” More here